Draw/Tie wins
chance of YES0%
-43.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
21–74%
24h volume
400.1K
Open interest
396.6K
Bid / ask
$114K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
South Africa100%360.9K
Australia0%325.0K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 99¢ | 1,599 | $2K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 2,555 | $2K | |
| NO | 91¢ | 1,282 | $1K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 1,224 | $1K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 4,363 | $4K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 2,000 | $2K | |
| NO | 83¢ | 1,805 | $2K | |
| NO | 67¢ | 2,000 | $1K | |
| NO | 67¢ | 2,000 | $1K | |
| NO | 83¢ | 3,853 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.