What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Kai Kamaka III

Closes Jul 25, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 2.3K Open interest 20.4K Event 329: Riley vs III

30%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 32% · Low 27% · 7d +18.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.