Aaron Pico wins
chance of YES52%
+1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
50–52%
24h volume
13.1K
Open interest
11.2K
Large orders (14d)
$5K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Losene Keita48%1.3K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 48¢ | 3,044 | $1K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 3,044 | $2K | |
| YES | 53¢ | 4,566 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.