Abubakar Vagaev wins
chance of YES60%
-3.0pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
53–83%
24h volume
4.3K
Open interest
6.1K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
hourly, 4dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Jacob Malkoun40%5.1K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 64¢ | 2,769 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.