What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 48%, implying a 48% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Tom Nolan

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (6d) All outcomes: Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan

chance of YES48%

Price range (16h)

46–50%

24h volume

4.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.