What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Nurullo Aliev by Submission

Settles Nov 07, 2026 (14d) All outcomes: Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: Method of Victory

chance of YES4% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (42h)

2–12%

24h volume

3.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 42h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.