What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Abubakar Vagaev by Submission

Settles Nov 07, 2026 (15d) All outcomes: Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun: Method of Victory

chance of YES4%

Price range (15h)

4–9%

24h volume

1.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 15h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.