Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 26, 2026?
chance of YES98%
Price range (1h)
99–99%
24h volume
2.3K
Open interest
2.3K
Large orders (14d)
—
Odds and volume
hourly, 1hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
4.83% or above99%1.7K
4.87% or above98%245
4.85% or above98%1.6K
4.91% or above96%420
4.89% or above96%400
4.93% or above86%200
4.95% or above80%200
4.97% or above70%200
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 99¢ | 2,000 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.