What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 12, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 480 tbtu

Settles Feb 12, 2027 (115d) All outcomes: Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3

chance of YES12% -5.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

10–40%

· 7d +40 pts

24h volume

200

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.