New Zealand wins
chance of YES50%
+36.0pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
7–49%
24h volume
115.9K
Open interest
57.7K
Bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49.0¢ | 701 | 50.0¢ | 11,014 |
| 48.0¢ | 12,628 | 51.0¢ | 69,454 |
| 46.0¢ | 2,680 | 53.0¢ | 500 |
| 45.0¢ | 2,200 | 54.0¢ | 1,201 |
| 44.0¢ | 1,001 | 56.0¢ | 660 |
Mid 49.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Australia50%111.1K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 51¢ | 2,676 | $1K | |
| NO | 58¢ | 22,437 | $13K | |
| NO | 73¢ | 1,452 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.