What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Marjorie Souza

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Bonardi vs Souza

chance of YES100%

Price range (14h)

62–99%

24h volume

209.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

139.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$140K

99% on YES

hourly, 14h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 4:54 PM ET	YES	94¢	5,491	$5K
Oct 27, 4:54 PM ET	YES	94¢	6,657	$6K
Oct 27, 4:54 PM ET	YES	94¢	6,657	$6K
Oct 27, 4:53 PM ET	YES	90¢	3,505	$3K
Oct 27, 4:52 PM ET	YES	82¢	1,357	$1K
Oct 27, 4:51 PM ET	NO	24¢	7,500	$2K
Oct 27, 4:44 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,779	$2K
Oct 27, 4:43 PM ET	YES	95¢	13,248	$13K
Oct 27, 4:43 PM ET	YES	95¢	17,384	$17K
Oct 27, 4:43 PM ET	YES	95¢	4,675	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.