What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Gomez Pezuela Cano vs Herea

chance of YES38%

Price range (12h)

3–15%

24h volume

1.4M

$1 contracts

Open interest

564.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

40¢ / 41¢

spread 1.0¢

hourly, 12h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 40.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 4:48 PM ET	YES	42¢	5,482	$2K
Oct 27, 4:47 PM ET	NO	60¢	2,565	$2K
Oct 27, 4:47 PM ET	YES	42¢	7,995	$3K
Oct 27, 4:46 PM ET	NO	61¢	2,332	$1K
Oct 27, 4:46 PM ET	NO	60¢	2,352	$1K
Oct 27, 4:46 PM ET	NO	59¢	3,273	$2K
Oct 27, 4:44 PM ET	NO	79¢	4,350	$3K
Oct 27, 4:43 PM ET	NO	55¢	2,458	$1K
Oct 27, 4:42 PM ET	NO	54¢	4,603	$2K
Oct 27, 4:42 PM ET	NO	53¢	3,702	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.