What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Shuai Zhang

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (12d) All outcomes: Valentova vs Zhang

chance of YES16% -15.0pp in 24h

Price range (42h)

1–39%

24h volume

1.3M

$1 contracts

Open interest

537.4K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$374K

32% on YES

hourly, 42h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 20, 12:30 AM ET	NO	99¢	2,782	$3K
Oct 20, 12:30 AM ET	NO	84¢	2,079	$2K
Oct 20, 12:30 AM ET	NO	84¢	2,600	$2K
Oct 20, 12:30 AM ET	NO	85¢	1,591	$1K
Oct 20, 12:29 AM ET	NO	93¢	25,453	$24K
Oct 20, 12:29 AM ET	NO	91¢	4,549	$4K
Oct 20, 12:29 AM ET	NO	79¢	9,727	$8K
Oct 20, 12:26 AM ET	NO	69¢	2,293	$2K
Oct 20, 12:26 AM ET	YES	31¢	20,000	$6K
Oct 20, 12:22 AM ET	NO	91¢	2,195	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.