What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Naomi Osaka

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (12d) All outcomes: Osaka vs Paolini

chance of YES100% +26.0pp in 24h

Price range (2d)

73–99%

24h volume

388.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

230.5K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$212K

95% on YES

hourly, 2d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 5:47 AM ET	YES	99¢	4,966	$5K
Oct 27, 5:47 AM ET	YES	97¢	1,543	$1K
Oct 27, 5:46 AM ET	YES	92¢	4,468	$4K
Oct 27, 5:46 AM ET	YES	92¢	2,962	$3K
Oct 27, 5:46 AM ET	NO	5¢	40,580	$2K
Oct 27, 5:45 AM ET	YES	89¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 27, 5:45 AM ET	YES	88¢	12,175	$11K
Oct 27, 5:43 AM ET	YES	80¢	1,899	$2K
Oct 27, 5:43 AM ET	YES	80¢	1,510	$1K
Oct 27, 5:43 AM ET	YES	88¢	3,660	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.