What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Xinran Sun

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Sun vs Sawangkaew

chance of YES46% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (34h)

38–46%

24h volume

2.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 34h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.