What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Elena Rybakina

Settles Nov 04, 2026 (12d) All outcomes: Elena Rybakina vs Polina Kudermetova: Set 1 Winner

chance of YES96% -42.0pp in 24h

Price range (36h)

82–98%

24h volume

20.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

19.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$13K

100% on YES

hourly, 36h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 7:40 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,036	$1K
Oct 22, 7:21 AM ET	YES	93¢	1,211	$1K
Oct 22, 6:28 AM ET	YES	84¢	1,397	$1K
Oct 22, 6:26 AM ET	YES	83¢	1,961	$2K
Oct 22, 6:26 AM ET	YES	82¢	2,338	$2K
Oct 22, 2:32 AM ET	YES	82¢	2,222	$2K
Oct 22, 2:06 AM ET	YES	83¢	1,600	$1K
Oct 22, 2:04 AM ET	YES	83¢	1,999	$2K
Oct 22, 2:03 AM ET	YES	82¢	1,999	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.