What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Basinga Balaalu

chance of YES2%

Price range (1h)

2–3%

24h volume

570

$1 contracts

Open interest

570

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 1h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.