polymarket
Sports
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Harry Kane
52%
implied YES probability
-1.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 54% ·
Low 15%
· 7d +22.7pp
· 30d +144.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Harry Kane winning the 2026 Ballon d'Or indicates a 46% probability of him taking home the award, as reflected in the current YES price of 0.46. This assessment is informed by known facts about Kane's performance and achievements in recent years, which may influence bettors' decisions to wager on his chances. The market will close on October 31, 2026, at midnight UTC, and any changes to the current price would likely be driven by new information or developments that impact Kane's prospects for winning the award. If no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary source of resolution information for this market is official announcements from France Football, which has historically been responsible for presenting the Ballon d'Or award.
Generated Jul 29, 2026
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