polymarket
Sports
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Fabian Ruiz
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 14 days ·
High 3% ·
Low 1%
· 7d +42.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on whether Fabian Ruiz will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or indicates a low probability of this outcome, with a current YES price of 0.01, implying a 1% chance. This assessment is informed by known facts about the footballer's performance and achievements to date. The market's valuation may change if new information emerges that affects Fabian Ruiz's chances of winning the award, such as changes in his team's performance or injuries affecting other contenders. As the market closes on October 31, 2026, any updates or developments up until then could impact the price. If no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other", which may also influence the current price.
Generated Jul 27, 2026
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