Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

The prediction market on whether Kylian Mbappé will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or indicates a relatively low probability of this outcome, with a current YES price of 0.11, implying an approximately 11% chance. This assessment is informed by known facts about Mbappé's performance and achievements in recent years, as well as the general expectations surrounding his career trajectory. The market will close on October 31st, 2026, at which point it will be resolved based on the official winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or, as announced by France Football. Any significant changes to Mbappé's performance or injuries that impact his ability to compete at a high level could potentially drive the price up, while a strong season from another player or an unexpected upset in the voting process could cause the price to decrease.