polymarket
Politics
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Tereza Cristina
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 80 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d +66.7pp
· 30d -37.5pp
How this market resolves
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election indicates that Tereza Cristina winning the election has a currently assigned probability of 0%, as reflected in the YES price of $0.00. This assessment is based on known facts and current information available up to the market's closing date of October 4, 2026. The market will resolve according to the outcome of the election, including any potential second round. If the result is not known by June 30, 2027, the market will default to "Other". Any significant changes in the political landscape or candidate announcements could impact the price, potentially driving it up if Tereza Cristina's chances improve or down if her prospects worsen.
Generated Jul 29, 2026
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