Agree Realty Corporation(ADC)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $69.56 – $82.08
- YTD
- +10.66%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 13.78
- Straddle Price
- $4.42
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 3.20
- Market Cap
- $9.6B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.60% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 10.10% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 8.97% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +29.3pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 0.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +14.4% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.4B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 3.4% |
| Book / Price | 68.6% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 100.0% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 49.6% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.52 |
| Quality Score | 3/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +15.1% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $75.95 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $78.07 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 11.1% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $3.2B |
| Market Cap | $9B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $76.17 | 20% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $70.16 | 16% | |
| Peer P/E | $126.48 | 5% | median 62.1× · 6 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $103.16 | 6% | median 22.4× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/B | $126.58 | 8% | median 2.3× · 6 peers |
| Peer P/S | $72.41 | 8% | median 9.9× · 6 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $75.95 | 38% | stability 95% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (6798)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $9.6B
Agree Realty Corporation operates as a fully integrated real estate investment trust mainly focused on the ownership, acquisition, development and management of retail properties net leased to industry-tenants. The Company is mainly in the business of acquiring, developing and managing retail real estate. Some of its properties in the portfolio include Walmart, 7-Eleven, Wawa, Gerber Collision and others.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -1.24% | 23 |
| Feb | -0.26% | 23 |
| Mar | +1.71% | 23 |
| Apr | +0.15% | 23 |
| May | +0.73% | 23 |
| Jun | +0.20% | 23 |
| Jul | +4.13% | 23 |
| Aug | +0.00% | 22 |
| Sep | -0.61% | 23 |
| Oct | +1.91% | 23 |
| Nov | +0.01% | 23 |
| Dec | +1.68% | 23 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-22 | After-Close | 4.73% | 2.10% | 0.44x | Within |
| 2025-02-11 | After-Close | 3.89% | 1.69% | 0.43x | Within |
| 2025-04-22 | unknown | 4.64% | 0.36% | 0.08x | Within |
| 2025-07-31 | After-Close | 4.30% | 4.76% | 1.11x | Exceeded |
| 2025-10-21 | Pre-Market | 4.42% | 2.26% | 0.51x | Within |
| 2026-02-10 | After-Close | 3.24% | 0.55% | 0.17x | Within |
| 2026-04-21 | After-Close | 4.34% | 2.78% | 0.64x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 13.78
- IV Rank (7D)
- 13.78
- Avg IV
- 38.5%
- Straddle (30D)
- $4.42
- Straddle (7D)
- $4.42
- P/C Volume
- 3.20
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- -0.23
- Correlation (SPY)
- -17.5%
- R²
- 0.03
- Ann. Volatility
- 16.4%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.7%
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian | $5.65M | 45.20% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | PEAK6 LLC | $3.28M | 26.22% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $2.10M | 16.82% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $1.27M | 10.13% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $204.54K | 1.64% | 2025-09-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $3.27M | 70.03% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.13M | 24.16% | 2025-09-30 |
| 3 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $271.37K | 5.81% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | RICHARD AGREE | EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN OF BOARD | Buy (P) | +5,000 | $71.41 | $357.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | JOHN JR RAKOLTA | Director | Buy (P) | +20,000 | $74.57 | $1.49M | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | Joey Agree | PRESIDENT & CEO | Buy (P) | +13,295 | $75.41 | $1.00M | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | Greg Lehmkuhl | Director | Mixed | +5,068 | $75.23 | $218.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | Jerome R Rossi | Director | Award (A) | +2,159 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | JOHN JR RAKOLTA | Director | Award (A) | +3,487 | $75.28 | $100.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | Michael Judlowe | Director | Award (A) | +3,487 | $75.28 | $100.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | Michael Hollman | Director | Award (A) | +2,159 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | Linglong He | Director | Award (A) | +3,487 | $75.28 | $100.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | Karen Dearing | Director | Award (A) | +2,159 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | Merrie S. Frankel | Director | Award (A) | +432 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-08 | Craig Erlich | CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER | Gift (G) | −500 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-03 | JOHN JR RAKOLTA | Director | Buy (P) | +146 | $75.69 | $11.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-25 | RICHARD AGREE | EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN OF BOARD | Mixed | +3,492 | $79.32 | -$363.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-25 | Joey Agree | PRESIDENT & CEO | Mixed | +23,122 | $79.32 | -$3.29M | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Agree | PRESIDENT & CEO | 679,067 | $54.20M | $7.20M | 56 | 2026-05-18 |
| 2 | JOHN JR RAKOLTA | Director | 595,943 | $47.56M | $32.09M | 50 | 2026-05-19 |
| 3 | RICHARD AGREE | EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN OF BOARD | 578,055 | $46.13M | $11.50M | 46 | 2026-06-08 |
| 4 | DAVID J PRUETER | Senior Vice President | 87,720 | $7.00M | -$37.6K | 14 | 2010-01-11 |
| 5 | KENNETH R HOWE | Chief Financial Officer | 78,950 | $6.30M | $0 | 4 | 2010-01-11 |
| 6 | Greg Lehmkuhl | Director | 34,464 | $2.75M | $555.9K | 19 | 2026-05-18 |
| 7 | Peter Coughenour | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | 31,057 | $2.48M | $97.9K | 8 | 2026-02-25 |
| 8 | Laith Hermiz | EVP, Real Estate | 28,629 | $2.28M | -$403.5K | 33 | 2021-02-25 |
| 9 | William S. Rubenfaer | Director | 27,003 | $2.16M | $671.9K | 16 | 2021-02-25 |
| 10 | Gene Silverman | Director | 26,762 | $2.14M | $170.0K | 4 | 2017-03-10 |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 0000917251-26-000050 | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-24 | 0001628280-26-027250 | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-21 | 0000917251-26-000046 | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-02 | 0000917251-26-000030 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-26 | 0000917251-26-000017 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-10 | 0000917251-26-000012 | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-05 | 0001104659-26-000619 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-18 | 0001104659-25-113644 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-21 | 0001104659-25-101229 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-02 | 0001104659-25-096055 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | 0000917251-26-000013 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-11 | 0001558370-25-000803 | EDGAR |
| 2024-02-13 | 0001558370-24-001056 | EDGAR |
| 2023-02-14 | 0001558370-23-001274 | EDGAR |
| 2022-02-22 | 0001558370-22-001606 | EDGAR |
| 2021-02-18 | 0001558370-21-001212 | EDGAR |
| 2020-02-20 | 0001558370-20-001080 | EDGAR |
| 2019-02-21 | 0001558370-19-000849 | EDGAR |
| 2018-02-22 | 0001144204-18-010250 | EDGAR |
| 2017-02-23 | 0001144204-17-010652 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | 0000917251-26-000047 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-21 | 0001104659-25-101233 | EDGAR |
| 2025-07-31 | 0001558370-25-009887 | EDGAR |
| 2025-04-22 | 0001558370-25-005142 | EDGAR |
| 2024-10-22 | 0001558370-24-013452 | EDGAR |
| 2024-07-23 | 0001558370-24-009974 | EDGAR |
| 2024-04-23 | 0001558370-24-005482 | EDGAR |
| 2023-10-24 | 0001558370-23-016665 | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-01 | 0001558370-23-012736 | EDGAR |
| 2023-05-04 | 0001558370-23-008149 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 43.1 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.5 |
| P/S Ratio | 12.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.2 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.8B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.2B |
| TTM EPS | $1.85 |
| ROE | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.75% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.52 |