Aurora Innovation, Inc. Class A Common Stock(AUR)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $3.60 – $8.56
- YTD
- +62.53%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 40.03
- Straddle Price
- $1.00
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.46
- Market Cap
- $12.3B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.43% |
| Beta vs SPY | 2.01 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 15.47% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 11.09% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +57.0pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +0.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-0.6B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -42.3% |
| Book / Price | 16.8% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | -475.0% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | -16150.0% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.00 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $6.26 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $6.66 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 477.9% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.3B |
| Market Cap | $12B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | -1.4% | +0.12 | -0.58 | 64.2% | — |
| 42d | -2.1% | +0.18 | -0.58 | 64.2% | — |
| 63d | -3.1% | +0.01 | -0.58 | 64.2% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 31.1× · 7 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 37.8× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $11.70 | 24% | median 11.1× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $0.03 | 24% | median 15.4× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $6.26 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $7.60 | 52% | 17 strikes · skew -0.19 |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN (7373)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $12.3B
Aurora Innovation is a US autonomous driving provider for heavy trucks. The company produces and sells its Aurora Driver system, which includes hardware installed in a vehicle, software to autonomously drive it, and data management to maintain and improve the software. Aurora targets long-haul routes. The company currently offers its trucking-as-a-service model, where it owns and operates the trucks and makes deliveries for customers. The company plans to start selling its driver-as-a-service model next year, where fleet owners will own the trucks and Aurora's software will operate them.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -4.97% | 5 |
| Feb | +0.54% | 5 |
| Mar | -4.64% | 5 |
| Apr | +10.38% | 5 |
| May | -6.62% | 5 |
| Jun | +11.95% | 5 |
| Jul | +26.80% | 4 |
| Aug | +2.21% | 4 |
| Sep | +1.97% | 4 |
| Oct | -6.28% | 4 |
| Nov | +0.01% | 5 |
| Dec | +13.32% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-31 | After-Close | 20.83% | 12.78% | 0.61x | Within |
| 2024-10-30 | After-Close | 22.02% | 9.67% | 0.44x | Within |
| 2025-02-12 | Pre-Market | 17.83% | 7.85% | 0.44x | Within |
| 2025-05-08 | After-Close | 12.03% | 4.98% | 0.41x | Within |
| 2025-07-30 | After-Close | 12.41% | 0.34% | 0.03x | Within |
| 2025-10-28 | Pre-Market | 12.81% | 0.38% | 0.03x | Within |
| 2026-02-11 | After-Close | 13.79% | 3.67% | 0.27x | Within |
| 2026-05-06 | After-Close | 11.41% | 1.24% | 0.11x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 40.03
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 131.4%
- Straddle (30D)
- $1.00
- Straddle (7D)
- $0.50
- P/C Volume
- 0.46
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 2.64
- Correlation (SPY)
- 52.7%
- R²
- 0.28
- Ann. Volatility
- 62.3%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.4%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $13.50M | 35.14% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $7.41M | 19.30% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $5.27M | 13.72% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | PEAK6 LLC | $3.36M | 8.74% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $1.91M | 4.97% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | CITIGROUP INC Custodian | $1.52M | 3.97% | 2026-03-31 |
| 7 | Caption Management, LLC | $1.19M | 3.09% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.15M | 3.00% | 2025-09-30 |
| 9 | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian | $947.60K | 2.47% | 2026-03-31 |
| 10 | BARCLAYS PLC Custodian | $824.00K | 2.15% | 2026-03-31 |
| 11 | WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN Custodian | $494.40K | 1.29% | 2026-03-31 |
| 12 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $309.00K | 0.80% | 2026-03-31 |
| 13 | Walleye Capital LLC | $160.68K | 0.42% | 2026-03-31 |
| 14 | SIG BROKERAGE, LP | $123.60K | 0.32% | 2026-03-31 |
| 15 | Squarepoint Ops LLC | $98.88K | 0.26% | 2026-03-31 |
| 16 | VestGen Advisors, LLC | $72.20K | 0.19% | 2026-03-31 |
| 17 | Walleye Trading LLC | $65.92K | 0.17% | 2026-03-31 |
| 18 | Covestor Ltd | $0 | 0.00% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $4.35M | 40.99% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $2.72M | 25.63% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $1.28M | 12.09% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.12M | 10.54% | 2025-09-30 |
| 5 | Dockside LLC | $492.07K | 4.63% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | Caption Management, LLC | $375.74K | 3.54% | 2026-03-31 |
| 7 | Walleye Trading LLC | $121.13K | 1.14% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | Walleye Capital LLC | $117.42K | 1.11% | 2026-03-31 |
| 9 | BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ Custodian | $35.02K | 0.33% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-23 | Christopher Urmson | See Remarks | Tax (F) | −55,618 | $2.53 | -$140.7K | EDGAR |
| 2022-08-23 | Sterling Anderson | Director | Tax (F) | −17,134 | $2.53 | -$43.3K | EDGAR |
| 2022-08-10 | Richard Tame | See Remarks | Award (A) | +109,052 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2022-05-23 | Sterling Anderson | Director | Tax (F) | −34,266 | $3.77 | -$129.2K | EDGAR |
| 2022-05-23 | Christopher Urmson | See Remarks | Tax (F) | −79,982 | $3.77 | -$301.5K | EDGAR |
| 2022-05-23 | William Mouat | See Remarks | Tax (F) | −13,033 | $3.77 | -$49.1K | EDGAR |
| 2022-05-20 | Carl M. Eschenbach | Director | Award (A) | +52,992 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2022-05-20 | Reid Hoffman | Director | Award (A) | +52,992 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2022-05-20 | Brittany Bagley | Director | Award (A) | +52,992 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2022-05-20 | Claire D'Oyly-Hughes Johnson | Director | Award (A) | +52,992 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2022-04-05 | William Mouat | See Remarks | Tax (F) | −4,570 | $5.82 | -$26.6K | EDGAR |
| 2022-03-17 | Christopher Urmson | See Remarks | Award (A) | +867,359 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2022-03-17 | Sterling Anderson | Director | Award (A) | +371,594 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2022-03-17 | William Mouat | See Remarks | Award (A) | +132,168 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2022-03-17 | Richard Tame | See Remarks | Award (A) | +132,168 | — | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reinvent Sponsor Y LLC | 6,883,086 | $43.23M | $0 | 1 | 2021-11-05 | |
| 2 | William Mouat | See Remarks | 3,545,904 | $22.27M | $0 | 4 | 2022-05-23 |
| 3 | Christopher Urmson | See Remarks | 731,759 | $4.60M | $0 | 3 | 2022-08-23 |
| 4 | Reid Hoffman | Director | 727,711 | $4.57M | $0 | 2 | 2022-05-20 |
| 5 | Michael N. Jr. Thompson | 430,000 | $2.70M | $0 | 1 | 2021-11-05 | |
| 6 | MARK J PINCUS | 400,000 | $2.51M | $0 | 1 | 2021-11-05 | |
| 7 | Sterling Anderson | Director | 320,194 | $2.01M | $0 | 3 | 2022-08-23 |
| 8 | Richard Tame | See Remarks | 241,220 | $1.51M | $0 | 2 | 2022-08-10 |
| 9 | Carl M. Eschenbach | Director | 217,992 | $1.37M | $0 | 1 | 2022-05-20 |
| 10 | Brittany Bagley | Director | 183,242 | $1.15M | $0 | 1 | 2022-05-20 |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | 0001828108-26-000057 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-06 | 0001828108-26-000050 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-27 | 0001628280-26-012827 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-11 | 0001828108-26-000014 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-28 | 0001828108-25-000155 | EDGAR |
| 2025-07-30 | 0001828108-25-000137 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-23 | 0001828108-25-000117 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-08 | 0001828108-25-000083 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-01 | 0001828108-25-000078 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-12 | 0001828108-25-000020 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 0001828108-26-000052 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-28 | 0001828108-25-000157 | EDGAR |
| 2025-07-30 | 0001828108-25-000139 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-08 | 0001828108-25-000087 | EDGAR |
| 2024-10-31 | 0001828108-24-000140 | EDGAR |
| 2024-07-31 | 0001828108-24-000127 | EDGAR |
| 2024-05-09 | 0001828108-24-000088 | EDGAR |
| 2023-11-02 | 0001828108-23-000219 | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-03 | 0001828108-23-000168 | EDGAR |
| 2023-05-04 | 0001828108-23-000081 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 6.0 |
| P/S Ratio | 2966.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | -12.8 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.0B |
| TTM Net Income | $-0.8B |
| TTM EPS | $-0.43 |
| ROE | -42.3% |