Empery Digital Inc. Common stock(EMPD)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

Snapshot
$3.54
52-Week Range
$3.19 – $11.37
YTD
-23.87%
IV Rank (30D)
40.74
Straddle Price
$0.90
P/C Vol Ratio
0.67
Market Cap
$0.1B
Fair Value
+50.0% vs price
Confidence: 36% Alpha Score: 1.16

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.50%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)10.00% (VRP-adj)
WACC8.29%
Volatility Risk Premium+175.8pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+3.0%
DCF Horizon5 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$-0.5B
Return on Equity (TTM)-74.6%
Book / Price221.6% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Gross Margin (TTM)-15.9%
FCF Margin (TTM)-41655.9%
Debt / Equity0.27
Quality Score1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF)
SMA 50$4.50 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$3.74
Bollinger Width / SMA20962.3% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$0.0B
Market Cap$0B
Peers used for multiples: F, GM, OSK, PCAR, RIVN, SEV (SIC-code peers; ETF co-membership was sector-incoherent)
Blended Fair Value
$6.14
Current Price
$3.60
Deviation
+50.0%
Forward-Return Rank LONG gates ✓
?
Horizon Expected α z Pred Blended z Rank % Active?
21d +0.8% +1.86 +2.03 98.6% ACTIVE
42d -0.7% +1.67 +1.93 97.0% ACTIVE
63d -0.2% +1.45 +1.82 95.7% ACTIVE
Expected α = forward-return point estimate vs SPY (e.g., +7.5% means the predictor expects this stock to outperform SPY by 7.5% over that horizon). For SHORT direction the model uses a different ranking metric (conviction-weighted deviation, not the LGBM prediction); Expected α is shown for reference. flags rows where Expected α disagrees with the FV direction — two independent signals are in conflict; conviction is low even if rank looks extreme.
Forward-Return Rank. A proprietary ensemble of a machine-learning forward-return model and a conviction-weighted fundamental score, ranked cross-sectionally each day across the S&P 500 (and broader universes on the screener). Each stock is scored at three horizons (21/42/63 trading days). "Active" = top/bottom 5% AND all risk filters pass. Backtested mean alpha vs SPY on active picks: 21d LONG +13.4%, 63d +34.9% (S&P 500, walk-forward). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Value vs momentum conflict ⚠. The "FV direction" (long/short) comes from the fundamentals-based engine — price vs intrinsic value. The "Expected α" comes from a separate machine-learning predictor trained on ~12 features (sector, options-implied move, beta, institutional flow, etc.). Sometimes the two disagree: a stock is overvalued by fundamentals but the predictor expects it to keep outperforming (sector or momentum tailwinds). When all 3 horizons disagree, treat the direction signal as low-conviction — neither model is strongly recommending a position.
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF n/a 0%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0% median 24.9× · 3 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0% median 13.2× · 4 peers
Peer P/B $17.90 18% median 2.4× · 6 peers
Peer P/S $0.05 18% median 0.9× · 5 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $4.50 63% stability 68% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-06-26 · updated 2026-06-26 20:59:30.580000
Info
Industry (SIC)
MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES (3711)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.1B

Empery Digital Inc is an all-electric, off-road powersports vehicle company developing and building electric two and four-wheel motorcycles and utility terrain vehicles, also known as side-by-sides, along with a complete line of upgrades and accessories. The company's products include motorcycle and UTV products that are all-electric and designed for off-road use.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +7.21% 1
Feb -23.94% 1
Mar +14.02% 1
Apr +9.56% 1
May -6.44% 1
Jun -18.92% 1
Jul -3.05% 1
Aug +1.44% 1
Sep +7.28% 1
Oct -11.51% 1
Nov -18.55% 1
Dec -13.02% 1
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $3.70
SMA 50: $4.48
SMA 200: $5.11
Current: $3.60
EMA 12: $3.67
EMA 26: $3.93
MACD: -0.2550 | Signal: 0.0176
BEARISH
ADX (14): 26.10
TREND
+DI: 18.42
−DI: 31.16
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 41.42
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 29.87
Stoch %D: 35.19
Williams %R: -59.26
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $4.29
BB Lower: $3.11
NEUTRAL
OBV: -10,170,416
Vol SMA 20: 206,807
Vol ROC: 169.76%
ATR: $0.26
True Range: $0.21
HV 20: 84.3%
HV 30: 74.8%
HV 60: 63.8%

Data Summary
Data Points: 228
Last Updated: 2026-06-26T21:15:08.619000
Date Range: 2025-07-31T00:00:00 – 2026-06-26T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
1 of 1 under expected move
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2025-11-12 Pre-Market 14.75% 0.33% 0.02x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
40.74
IV Rank (7D)
40.74
Avg IV
214.4%
Straddle (30D)
$0.90
Straddle (7D)
$0.90
P/C Volume
0.67
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
2.83
Correlation (SPY)
47.1%
0.22
Ann. Volatility
77.7%
SPY Volatility
12.9%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-03-31
Diluted shares outstanding: 22,038,798 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

46 filers18,455,663 shares$78.21M value83.74% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 Empery Asset Management, LP 2,930,345 $12.40M 15.85% 13.30% 2026-03-31
2 HIGHBRIDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 2,867,636 $12.13M 15.51% 13.01% 2026-03-31
3 Weiss Asset Management LP 1,916,928 $8.11M 10.37% 8.70% 2026-03-31
4 DRW Securities, LLC 1,909,955 $8.08M 10.33% 8.67% 2026-03-31
5 HEIGHTS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC 1,000,000 $4.23M 5.41% 4.54% 2026-03-31
6 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 841,642 $3.56M 4.55% 3.82% 2026-03-31
7 STEADFAST CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP 815,300 $3.45M 4.41% 3.70% 2026-03-31
8 Hudson Bay Capital Management LP 755,000 $3.19M 4.08% 3.43% 2026-03-31
9 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 701,438 $2.97M 3.79% 3.18% 2026-03-31
10 Brevan Howard Capital Management LP 655,314 $2.77M 3.54% 2.97% 2026-03-31
11 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 607,072 $2.77M 3.54% 2.75% 2025-12-31
12 UBS Group AG Custodian 527,751 $2.23M 2.85% 2.39% 2026-03-31
13 LMR Partners LLP 500,000 $2.12M 2.70% 2.27% 2026-03-31
14 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 455,153 $1.93M 2.46% 2.07% 2026-03-31
15 TORNO CAPITAL, LLC 260,000 $1.10M 1.41% 1.18% 2026-03-31
16 Saba Capital Management, L.P. 210,346 $889.76K 1.14% 0.95% 2026-03-31
17 Alpine Global Management, LLC 200,000 $846.00K 1.08% 0.91% 2026-03-31
18 STATE STREET CORP 190,171 $804.42K 1.03% 0.86% 2026-03-31
19 Clear Street Group Inc. 174,578 $738.47K 0.94% 0.79% 2026-03-31
20 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian 117,450 $496.81K 0.64% 0.53% 2026-03-31
21 Caption Management, LLC 110,000 $465.30K 0.59% 0.50% 2026-03-31
22 Yorkville Advisors Global, LP 100,000 $423.00K 0.54% 0.45% 2026-03-31
23 MARSHALL WACE, LLP Custodian 77,926 $329.63K 0.42% 0.35% 2026-03-31
24 NORTHERN TRUST CORP Custodian 75,072 $317.56K 0.41% 0.34% 2026-03-31
25 Vontobel Holding Ltd. 67,093 $283.80K 0.36% 0.30% 2026-03-31
3 filers$2.51M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Clear Street Group Inc. $1.27M 50.57% 2026-03-31
2 Caption Management, LLC $1.18M 47.20% 2026-03-31
3 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $55.84K 2.23% 2026-03-31
1 filers$5.08K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $5.08K 100.00% 2026-03-31
Insider Activity
Latest: 2026-05-19
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-05-19 Woodmont Investing LLC 10%+ Owner Exer (X) +200,000 $2.99 $598.0K EDGAR
2026-02-20 Jonathan P. Foster Director Other (J) −4 opt EDGAR
2026-02-20 Greg Endo Chief Executive Officer Other (J) −5 opt EDGAR
2026-02-20 ATG Capital Opportunities Fund LP 10%+ Owner Buy (P) +1,714,504 $4.94 $8.46M EDGAR
2026-02-20 Kyoung John Kim Co-Chief Executive Officer Other (J) −4 opt EDGAR
2026-02-20 ATG Capital Management LP 10%+ Owner Buy (P) +2,764,580 $4.68 $12.93M EDGAR
2026-02-04 ATG Capital Opportunities Fund LP 10%+ Owner Buy (P) +691,145 $4.68 $3.23M EDGAR
2026-01-30 ATG Capital Opportunities Fund LP 10%+ Owner Buy (P) +428,626 $4.94 $2.12M EDGAR
2025-12-15 Ryan M. Lane Co-Chief Executive Officer Award (A) +253,751 $4.58 $1.16M EDGAR
2025-12-08 Ryan M. Lane Co-Chief Executive Officer Award (A) +150,000 $4.85 $727.8K EDGAR
2025-08-25 Rohan Kumar Chauhan Director Grant (A) +298,802 opt EDGAR
2025-08-21 Matthew Homer Director Grant (A) +298,802 opt EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
4 insiders · @ $3.60
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 ATG Capital Opportunities Fund LP 10%+ Owner 8,194,408 $29.50M $13.81M 3 2026-02-20
2 ATG Capital Management LP 10%+ Owner 4,500,000 $16.20M $12.93M 1 2026-02-20
3 Ryan M. Lane Co-Chief Executive Officer 2,831,891 $10.19M $0 2 2025-12-15
4 Woodmont Investing LLC 10%+ Owner 2,762,022 $9.94M $0 1 2026-05-19
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/B Ratio0.6
P/S Ratio84.8
EV/EBITDA-1.3
TTM Revenue$-0.0B
TTM Net Income$-0.2B
TTM EPS$-8.39
ROE-74.6%
Debt/Equity0.28