MAT Mattel, Inc.

XNAS 15.04 Delayed
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Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

MAT $15.04 —
Key stats
$15.04
52-Week Range
$12.40 – $22.48
YTD
-24.93%
IV Rank (30D)
90.08
Straddle Price
$3.38
P/C Vol Ratio
0.25
Market Cap
$4.4B
Open
$15.76
Day Range
$15.04 – $15.90
Volume
2,095,202
Prev Close
$15.57
Fair Value
MODEL: SHORT

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.91%
Beta vs SPY0.97
Cost of Equity (CAPM)9.74% (VRP-adj)
WACC8.42%
Volatility Risk Premium+117.5pp (IV − HV30)
Effective Tax Rate14.8%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)-10.0%
DCF Horizon5 years explicit + fade
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$0.4B
Return on Equity (TTM)21.4%
Book / Price41.7% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Gross Margin (TTM)47.5%
FCF Margin (TTM)7.9%
Debt / Equity1.17
Quality Score1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF)
Market-Implied Growth-0.5% (reverse-DCF on current price)
SMA 50$15.02 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$16.30
Bollinger Width / SMA20106.2% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$1.8B
Market Cap$5B
Peers used for multiples: CDNS, DIS, IBM, MCD, NFLX, QCOM, RPRX, YUM
60-Day Conviction
34%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 4, 2026
$15.21
α +1.1% rank 96%
conviction
73%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 4, 2027
$15.32
α +1.8% rank 96%
conviction
61%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Feb 2, 2027
$14.92
α -0.8% rank 96%
conviction
34%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $7.94 18%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E $28.78 16% median 21.2× · 8 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA $25.82 16% median 16.1× · 8 peers
Peer P/B $42.24 3% median 6.5× · 6 peers
Peer P/S $91.25 11% median 5.1× · 8 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $15.02 0% stability 0% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) $15.79 36% 20 strikes · skew +0.25
As of 2026-11-05 · updated
About
Industry (SIC)
DOLLS & STUFFED TOYS (3942) · industry map
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$4.4B
Employees
31,000
List Date
1968-06-03
CIK
0000063276
Next Earnings
2026-11-05 (After-Close)
EPS Forecast
$0.94
Headquarters
El Segundo, CA
Homepage
https://corporate.mattel.com

Mattel manufactures and markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale partners and direct to retail customers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partner…

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
Month'21'22'23'24'25'26Avg
Jan5.04%-3.77%14.37%-4.69%5.13%4.24%3.39%
Feb10.50%16.95%-14.21%7.83%19.80%-20.20%3.45%
Mar-4.14%-9.24%3.31%1.49%-7.56%-11.40%-4.59%
Apr6.13%8.43%-0.50%-6.91%-18.22%3.57%-1.25%
May-1.53%1.66%-1.25%-1.60%19.34%0.07%2.78%
Jun-4.87%-8.75%11.47%-8.81%6.19%-6.59%-1.89%
Jul7.05%5.07%6.29%18.93%-15.88%9.55%5.17%
Aug-2.56%-4.49%4.18%-0.99%8.54%0.47%0.86%
Sep-13.83%-14.57%-1.30%1.87%-7.12%-13.23%-8.03%
Oct16.57%-0.63%-12.40%6.53%6.37%2.53%3.16%
Nov-1.76%-3.80%-1.71%-4.47%14.53%-3.09%*-0.05%
Dec1.08%-3.31%-3.08%-6.29%-5.34%---3.39%
Total15.09%-18.59%1.26%-0.33%18.00%-32.29%-2.81%
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $16.22
SMA 50: $15.01
SMA 200: $15.35
Current: $15.06
EMA 12: $15.65
EMA 26: $15.63
MACD: 0.0124 | Signal: -0.2177
BULLISH
ADX (14): 23.25
WEAK TREND
+DI: 25.12
−DI: 27.92

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 42.20
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 9.73
Stoch %D: 12.83
Williams %R: -98.91

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $17.73
BB Lower: $14.72
NEUTRAL
OBV: 98,763,371
Vol SMA 20: 5,663,207
Vol ROC: -59.02%
ATR: $0.56
True Range: $0.87
HV 20: 29.8%
HV 30: 60.4%
HV 60: 47.3%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-11-06T00:00:00 – 2026-11-04T00:00:00
AI Analysis

MATTEL INC. (MAT) - COMPREHENSIVE STOCK ANALYSIS

Executive Summary

Overall Assessment: BEARISH | Confidence Level: 6.5/10

Mattel presents a conflicted technical picture with bearish momentum indicators contradicting a strong short-term uptrend. The stock has rallied 15.4% above its 200-day moving average ($15.91), but deteriorating MACD signals, negative news sentiment from recent insider selling, and elevated implied volatility suggest caution. The company faces headwinds from a 1-year 18% decline and lacks near-term earnings catalysts. While positive licensing news from mid-2026 provided temporary support, recent October sentiment has turned negative. The risk/reward currently favors a more defensive posture given the divergence between price strength and underlying momentum weakness.

Key Drivers:

  • Negative insider activity (executive selling 40,000 shares)
  • Bearish MACD crossover (-0.22 vs signal +0.11, histogram -0.33)
  • Elevated realized volatility (HV20: 70.2%) despite low beta (0.64)

Primary Risks:

  • Technical breakdown below $13.59 (SMA 20) could trigger further decline
  • IV premium (126.1% above realized) suggests market pricing outsized moves
  • Low correlation (0.19) to SPY indicates stock-specific risk dominance

Investment Thesis: MAT has rallied above its 200-day MA but exhibits classic bearish divergence with deteriorating momentum—price strength is not confirmed by MACD, Stochastic, or recent sentiment. Insider selling near recent highs and elevated IV premium suggest informed participants are reducing exposure. This setup typically precedes mean reversion toward the $13.59-$14.33 support zone.


Technical Analysis

Trend Direction

SHORT-TERM (1-4 weeks): BULLISH

  • Price: $15.04 trading above SMA 20 ($13.59) — (+10.6% above)
  • Price: $15.04 above SMA 50 ($14.33) — (+4.9% above)
  • Strong uptrend structure in recent weeks
  • ADX 26.50 confirms trending market (threshold >25)

MEDIUM-TERM (1-3 months): NEUTRAL-TO-BEARISH

  • Price: $15.04 below SMA 200 ($15.91) — still -5.5% below long-term MA
  • Stock only recently broke above major resistance
  • Sustainability questionable given momentum divergence

LONG-TERM (3-12 months): BEARISH

  • SMA 200 at $15.91 represents overhead resistance
  • 18% one-year decline indicates multi-month downtrend
  • Current rally may be relief bounce rather than trend reversal

Support/Resistance Levels

| Level | Type | Distance | Significance | |-------|------|----------|---------------| | $15.91 | Resistance | +5.8% above | 200-day MA; major overhead resistance | | $15.04 | Current | — | Borderline price action | | $14.33 | Support | -4.7% below | SMA 50; intermediate support | | $13.59 | Support | -9.6% below | SMA 20; critical short-term support | | $12.44 | Support | -17.3% below | Bollinger Band lower band; major support | | $11.21 | Support | -25.5% below | Estimated 52-week low zone |

Critical Observation: The narrow range between SMA 20 ($13.59) and price ($15.04) represents only 10.6% buffer. A break below $13.59 would signal trend reversal and could accelerate to $12.44.

Momentum Signals

RSI (14): 63.24 — NEUTRAL (NOT Overbought)

  • Interpretation: Reading of 63.24 falls in neutral zone (30-70 range)
  • Indicates momentum is present but not exhausted
  • Lacks overbought condition that would suggest imminent pullback
  • However, RSI has clearly moved from oversold, suggesting rally maturity

MACD: BEARISH CROSSOVER

  • Current MACD: -0.22
  • Signal Line: +0.11
  • Histogram: -0.33 (negative and widening in bearish direction)
  • Critical Signal: MACD trading below its signal line with divergence widening indicates bearish momentum shift
  • This is the strongest negative indicator in the technical suite
  • Suggests bullish momentum is fading despite price continuation

Stochastic Oscillators: BEARISH

  • %K: 30.33 (near oversold territory)
  • %D: 26.65 (slower moving, still declining)
  • Williams %R: -45.34 (approaching -50, oversold signal)
  • Interpretation: Stochastic indicators are rolling over despite price strength, confirming momentum exhaustion

Bollinger Bands: OVERBOUGHT SIGNAL

  • Price: $15.04
  • Upper Band: $14.74
  • Current Position: Price is $0.30 ABOVE upper Bollinger Band
  • Width: 16.98 (moderate, not in squeeze)
  • Signal: Price has extended beyond statistical boundaries (2 standard deviations), historically followed by mean reversion
  • Mean reversion target would be middle band at $13.59 (current SMA 20)

Volume Analysis

Volume Trend: HIGHLY ELEVATED

  • Volume Rate of Change: 808.42% (EXCEPTIONAL)
  • This 808% increase is extremely unusual and merits investigation
  • Volume SMA 20: 6,364,989 shares
  • Interpretation: Either a single massive volume day or sustained volume surge; suggests institutional positioning or major event

On-Balance Volume: 77,782,428

  • OBV is highly elevated, indicating cumulative buying pressure over period
  • Concern: OBV elevation combined with bearish MACD suggests volume is supporting price into resistance rather than building sustainable rally base

Institutional Interest Signals:

  • High volume rate of change suggests:
    • Possible institutional accumulation OR
    • Possible institutional distribution (especially given insider selling news)
    • Technical breakdown likely to accelerate given current volume

Data Quality Flag: The 808% volume rate of change is extreme. Recommend verifying:

  • Whether this reflects single abnormal session or sustained period
  • Whether data includes any special events, stock splits, or corporate actions
  • Current date relative to news events

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary

Timeline of News Events:

| Date | Headline | Sentiment | Implication | |------|----------|-----------|-------------| | Oct 1, 2026 | Company News (Zacks) | NEGATIVE | Most recent; tone not specified but negative classification | | Sep 3, 2026 | Executive dumps 40K shares after 18% decline | NEGATIVE | Insider selling at rally attempt; loss of confidence signal | | Sep 3, 2026 | Why is MAT Up 1.2% Since Earnings? | NEUTRAL | Post-earnings bounce modest; lack of enthusiasm | | Jun 30, 2026 | France Licensing Day Records | POSITIVE | Business momentum in international markets | | Jun 11, 2026 | Barbie/Ken dolls for cancer orgs | POSITIVE | Brand strength; CSR initiative | | Jun 3, 2026 | Brand Licensing Europe record numbers | POSITIVE | Sector momentum positive |

Sentiment Assessment

Aggregate Sentiment: NEGATIVE (-1.0 weighted average)

  • Recent sentiment (past 30 days): 2 NEGATIVE, 1 NEUTRAL = 67% negative
  • Older sentiment (Jun 2026): 3 POSITIVE signals = positive historical context

Critical Timing Observation: The most recent headline (Oct 1, 2026 - NEGATIVE) aligns with current price action and should be prioritized. This suggests the negative catalyst is either:

  1. Fresh earnings miss or guidance reduction
  2. New competitive pressure or market share loss
  3. Regulatory or operational issue

The Sep 3 insider selling by an executive is a material negative signal—executives typically sell near perceived peaks. The timing before the current bounce suggests informed insiders saw diminishing upside.

Catalyst Identification

IMMEDIATE (1-7 days):

  • Oct 1 negative news impact still being digested
  • Options market pricing $1.58 expected move by expiration (15 D
Generated
Showing 1–10 of 13
Page 1 of 2
Earnings History
18 of 23 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
9.48%
Avg Actual Move
5.85%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2021-02-09 After-Close 9.23% 2.07% 0.22x Within
2021-04-22 After-Close 7.38% 0.81% 0.11x Within
2021-07-27 After-Close 7.21% 4.87% 0.68x Within
2021-10-21 After-Close 7.87% 0.59% 0.07x Within
2022-02-09 After-Close 8.09% 7.65% 0.95x Within
2022-04-27 After-Close 7.76% 0.73% 0.09x Within
2022-07-21 After-Close 5.92% 7.12% 1.20x Exceeded
2022-10-25 After-Close 7.84% 2.73% 0.35x Within
2023-02-08 After-Close 8.93% 10.68% 1.20x Exceeded
2023-04-26 After-Close 9.66% 6.07% 0.63x Within
2023-07-26 After-Close 10.46% 0.38% 0.04x Within
2023-10-25 After-Close 7.86% 7.61% 0.97x Within
2024-02-07 After-Close 9.20% 0.32% 0.03x Within
2024-04-23 After-Close 8.81% 2.40% 0.27x Within
2024-07-23 After-Close 11.46% 9.80% 0.86x Within
2024-10-23 After-Close 8.01% 4.44% 0.55x Within
2025-02-04 After-Close 11.62% 15.33% 1.32x Exceeded
2025-05-05 After-Close 9.10% 2.78% 0.31x Within
2025-07-23 After-Close 11.39% 16.39% 1.44x Exceeded
2025-10-21 After-Close 17.40% 2.76% 0.16x Within
2026-02-10 After-Close 9.85% 24.98% 2.54x Exceeded
2026-04-29 After-Close 11.75% 1.28% 0.11x Within
2026-08-04 After-Close 11.27% 2.69% 0.24x Within

Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →

MAT Options Activity & IV Rank

MAT IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →

Volatility Metrics

Current IV: 85.1%
7-DTE IV: 95.3%
Expected Move: $3.38
7-DTE Move: $2.45
Days to Exp: 43 (2026-12-18)

Options Flow

Call Volume: 4,181
Put Volume: 1,028
P/C Volume: 0.246
BULLISH
Call OI: 40,061
Put OI: 15,740
P/C OI: 0.393
Total OI: 55,801

ATM Options Pricing

ATM Call: $2.12
ATM Put: $1.25
Call %: 14.1%
Put %: 8.3%

Chain Summary

Chain Volume: 39,299
Chain OI: 343,052
Last Updated: 11/5/2026
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ

Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 24th percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.

Gamma percentile
24%
vs own history
GEX tilt
-0.26
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.17
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.29
δ-decay vs time

Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.

Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.

Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.

This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.

· 33 ATM contracts, 141k total OI
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM 100.8% / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
No data

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)75.0HighNov 5
IV Rank (30 DTE)90.1HighNov 5
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$3.38Nov 5
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 0.5513
Alpha: -19.15%
Correlation: 0.1723
R-Squared: 3.0%
Stock Volatility: 43.0%
Market Volatility: 13.5%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own MAT
5 of 37 tracked investors
InvestorValueShare of their portfolioRankQ/Q sharesSource
Citadel Hedge fund
Ken Griffin
$30.8M
0.02%
#911 of 6285+373.3%13F
Millennium Management Hedge fund
Izzy Englander
$20.5M
0.01%
#1108 of 3716-47.2%13F
Point72 Hedge fund
Steve Cohen
$4.6M
0.01%
#1004 of 1945-84.9%13F
Bridgewater Associates Hedge fund
Ray Dalio
$3.1M
0.01%
#586 of 997+436.8%13F
Rockefeller Capital Management Family office
Rockefeller family
$8K
0.00%
#4080 of 4729-99.5%13F

Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions

MAT Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-09-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 307,439,500 (as of 2026-06-30)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

436 filers337,582,825 shares$4.90B value109.80% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. 51,047,454 $708.54M 14.45% 16.60% 2026-06-30
2 Vanguard Group Inc Custodian 30,521,569 $605.55M 12.35% 9.93% 2025-12-31
3 PRIMECAP Management Co 29,505,735 $409.54M 8.35% 9.60% 2026-06-30
4 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 26,172,377 $363.27M 7.41% 8.51% 2026-06-30
5 ARIEL INVESTMENTS, LLC 15,415,955 $213.97M 4.37% 5.01% 2026-06-30
6 Vanguard Capital Management LLC 13,168,755 $182.78M 3.73% 4.28% 2026-06-30
7 Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 13,127,051 $182.20M 3.72% 4.27% 2026-06-30
8 Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Custodian 12,592,950 $174.78M 3.57% 4.10% 2026-06-30
9 SOUTHEASTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT INC/TN/ 12,322,555 $171.04M 3.49% 4.01% 2026-06-30
10 State Street Corp 9,574,099 $132.89M 2.71% 3.11% 2026-06-30
11 LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT 7,179,883 $99.66M 2.03% 2.34% 2026-06-30
12 Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. 6,008,450 $83.40M 1.70% 1.95% 2026-06-30
13 Geode Capital Management, LLC Custodian 5,864,500 $81.42M 1.66% 1.91% 2026-06-30
14 FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. 5,276,858 $73.24M 1.49% 1.72% 2026-06-30
15 Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian 4,779,041 $66.33M 1.35% 1.55% 2026-06-30
16 AQR Capital Management, LLC Custodian 3,548,385 $48.52M 0.99% 1.15% 2026-06-30
17 Squarepoint Ops LLC 3,481,088 $48.32M 0.99% 1.13% 2026-06-30
18 Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. 3,222,360 $44.73M 0.91% 1.05% 2026-06-30
19 Morgan Stanley Custodian 3,148,361 $43.70M 0.89% 1.02% 2026-06-30
20 Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership 2,915,888 $40.47M 0.83% 0.95% 2026-06-30
21 Northern Trust Corp Custodian 2,664,600 $36.98M 0.75% 0.87% 2026-06-30
22 Norges Bank 2,649,546 $36.78M 0.75% 0.86% 2026-06-30
23 Victory Capital Management Inc. 2,618,879 $36.35M 0.74% 0.85% 2026-06-30
24 UBS Group AG Custodian 2,608,886 $36.21M 0.74% 0.85% 2026-06-30
25 Long Focus Capital Management, LLC 2,540,000 $35.26M 0.72% 0.83% 2026-06-30
14 filers$16.57M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian $3.12M 18.82% 2026-06-30
2 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $3.05M 18.44% 2026-06-30
3 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $2.99M 18.05% 2026-06-30
4 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $1.49M 9.01% 2026-06-30
5 Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian $1.47M 8.88% 2026-06-30
6 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $1.01M 6.07% 2026-06-30
7 Two Sigma Investments, LP Custodian $698.16K 4.21% 2026-06-30
8 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian $694.00K 4.19% 2026-06-30
9 Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian $518.98K 3.13% 2025-09-30
10 Walleye Trading LLC $445.55K 2.69% 2026-06-30
11 UBS Group AG Custodian $416.40K 2.51% 2026-06-30
12 Walleye Capital LLC $359.49K 2.17% 2026-06-30
13 Point72 Asset Management, L.P. $298.42K 1.80% 2026-06-30
14 Chicago Partners Investment Group LLC $3.28K 0.02% 2026-09-30
13 filers$42.99M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Millennium Management LLC Custodian $20.82M 48.43% 2026-06-30
2 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $16.40M 38.15% 2026-06-30
3 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $1.14M 2.65% 2026-06-30
4 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $977.15K 2.27% 2026-06-30
5 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian $878.60K 2.04% 2026-06-30
6 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian $694.00K 1.61% 2026-06-30
7 Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian $548.26K 1.28% 2026-06-30
8 Two Sigma Investments, LP Custodian $542.71K 1.26% 2026-06-30
9 Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian $334.11K 0.78% 2025-09-30
10 Walleye Trading LLC $247.06K 0.57% 2026-06-30
11 Walleye Capital LLC $220.69K 0.51% 2026-06-30
12 HAP TRADING, LLC $95.00K 0.22% 2025-09-30
13 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $93.00K 0.22% 2026-06-30

MAT Insider Trading (Form 4)

Latest: 2026-10-23
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-10-23 Lee Matheson Director Grant (A) +6,883 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-21 Peter H. Griffith Chief Financial Officer Grant (A) +206,003 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-14 Roger Lynch Chairman & CEO Mixed +226,707 $16.76 -$3.94M EDGAR
2026-10-02 Roberto Seixas Stanichi Pres., Chief Mktg & Brand Ofc Mixed +842 $12.66 -$11.1K EDGAR
2026-09-02 Zanatta Roberto Jacobo Isaias EVP & Chief Supply Chain Offr Sell (S) −39,083 $15.02 -$586.9K EDGAR
2026-08-04 Roberto Seixas Stanichi Pres., Chief Mktg & Brand Ofc Grant (A) +195,494 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-02 Karen Ancira EVP, Chief People Officer Mixed +10,704 $14.94 -$89.5K EDGAR
2026-06-02 Paul Ruh Chief Financial Officer Mixed +50,788 $14.94 -$598.1K EDGAR
2026-06-01 Adriana Cisneros Director Grant (A) +11,753 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-01 Diana Sue Ferguson Director Grant (A) +11,753 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-01 Julius Genachowski Director Grant (A) +11,753 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-01 Noreena Hertz Director Grant (A) +11,753 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-01 Soren T Laursen Director Grant (A) +11,753 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-01 Roger Lynch Director Grant (A) +23,506 RSU — EDGAR
2026-06-01 Dominic Ng Director Grant (A) +11,753 RSU — EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.

MAT Insider Holdings

16 insiders · @ $15.06
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Ynon Kreiz Chairman & CEO 1,842,633 $27.75M $2.01M 23 2026-05-11
2 Roger Lynch Chairman & CEO 257,491 $3.88M $108.0K 14 2026-10-14
3 Anthony Disilvestro Chief Financial Officer 235,372 $3.54M $0 19 2025-05-01
4 Steve Totzke President, Chief Comm Officer 214,092 $3.22M -$2.55M 25 2026-04-30
5 Zanatta Roberto Jacobo Isaias EVP & Chief Supply Chain Offr 144,390 $2.17M -$2.77M 36 2026-09-02
6 Jonathan Anschell EVP Chief Legal Officer & Sec 133,076 $2.00M -$618.5K 24 2026-05-11
7 Soren T Laursen Director 73,224 $1.10M $0 17 2026-06-01
8 Judy D. Olian Director 59,298 $893.0K $0 15 2026-06-01
9 Roberto Seixas Stanichi Pres., Chief Mktg & Brand Ofc 46,771 $704.4K $0 2 2026-10-02
10 Yoon J. Hugh SVP & Corporate Controller 40,282 $606.7K -$1.54M 29 2026-05-11
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.

MAT Board & Officers

As of SEC filings through Oct 23, 2026

Directors 13

Officers 7

10% owners 1

  • EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. (entity) · since Oct 21, 2026
Changes in the last 10 years (46)
Oct 21, 2026Lee Matheson became a director
Oct 21, 2026EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. became a director
Oct 21, 2026EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. became a 10% owner
Oct 20, 2026Peter H. Griffith became a director
Oct 20, 2026Peter H. Griffith became Chief Financial Officer
Oct 14, 2026The company announced the departure of Paul Ruh as Chief Financial Officer in an SEC filing
Oct 14, 2026Roger Lynch first listed as Chairman & CEO in an SEC filing
Sep 29, 2026The company announced the departure of Ynon Kreiz as Chairman & CEO in an SEC filing
Jul 29, 2026Roberto Seixas Stanichi became Pres., Chief Mktg & Brand Ofc
Apr 7, 2026The company announced the departure of Steve Totzke as President, Chief Comm Officer in an SEC filing
May 19, 2025Paul Ruh became Chief Financial Officer
Jan 13, 2025The company announced the departure of Anthony Disilvestro as Chief Financial Officer in an SEC filing
May 15, 2024Karen Ancira became EVP, Chief People Officer
Mar 18, 2024The company announced the departure of Michael J Dolan from the board in an SEC filing
Feb 5, 2024Julius Genachowski became a director
Feb 5, 2024Dawn Ostroff became a director
Feb 1, 2024The company announced the departure of Richard Todd Bradley from the board in an SEC filing
Feb 1, 2024The company announced the departure of Ann Lewnes from the board in an SEC filing
Aug 4, 2023Richard Dickson reported in an SEC filing no longer being Pres & Chief Operating Officer
Mar 29, 2023Noreena Hertz became a director
Not reported recently (15)
  • Amanda J Thompson · Last reported as EVP & Chief People Officer in an SEC filing dated Aug 4, 2023
  • Robert Normile · Last reported as EVP Chief Legal Officer & Sec in an SEC filing dated Aug 4, 2020
  • Vasant M Prabhu · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 20, 2020
  • Michael J. Eilola · Last reported as EVP&Chief Supply Chain Officer in an SEC filing dated Feb 13, 2019
  • Joseph B Johnson · Last reported as SVP & Corporate Controller in an SEC filing dated Aug 3, 2018
  • Mary Margaret Hastings Georgiadis · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Feb 9, 2018
  • Kevin M Farr · Last reported as Chief Financial Officer in an SEC filing dated Aug 3, 2017
  • Geoffrey H Walker · Last reported as EVP, Chief Strategic Tech Off in an SEC filing dated Aug 3, 2017
  • Peter D Gibbons · Last reported as EVP&Chief Supply Chain Officer in an SEC filing dated Aug 3, 2017
  • Loyd Kathy White · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 23, 2017
  • Frances D Fergusson · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 23, 2017
  • Dean A Scarborough · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 23, 2017
  • Put Dirk Van de · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 23, 2017
  • Trevor A Edwards · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated May 23, 2017
  • Richard R Gros · Last reported as EVP, Chief HR Officer in an SEC filing dated Feb 9, 2017
Compiled from SEC filings by the company and its directors and officers. Dates are as stated in those filings. Where no filing says when someone left, we show the last filing that listed them.

MAT Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)

Latest: 2026-08-31
Last 30d: 0 filings  ·  Last 90d: 1 filing · $587K notice value · 1 unique filer

What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.

How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.

10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.

"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.

Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.

Top 90-day filers: Isaias Zanatta Roberto Jacobo (1, $587K)
Filed Filer Role Shares Notice Value Planned Sale Broker Plan Link
2026-08-31 Isaias Zanatta Roberto Jacobo Officer 39,083 $586.9K 2026-08-31 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-05-26 TOTZKE STEVE Former Officer 13,810 $208.6K 2026-05-26 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-05-06 TOTZKE STEVE Former Officer 93,092 $1.40M 2026-05-06 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-05-05 TOTZKE STEVE Former Officer 101,902 $1.51M 2026-05-05 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2025-07-22 DISILVESTRO ANTHONY Officer 25,462 $510.4K 2025-07-22 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2025-05-16 DISILVESTRO ANTHONY Officer 362,704 $7.29M 2025-05-16 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2024-07-08 Michael J Dolan Former Director 64,836 $1.05M 2024-07-08 UBS Financial Services Inc — EDGAR
2024-07-03 DOLAN MICHAEL J Former Director 80,330 $1.30M 2024-07-03 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2024-05-13 TOTZKE STEVE Officer 45,216 $854.6K 2024-05-13 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2024-05-10 TOTZKE STEVE Officer 4,900 $92.6K 2024-05-10 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
Recent SEC Filings
Latest: 2026-06-02
Current reports — material events the company must disclose within 4 business days (earnings releases, M&A, executive changes, etc.).
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-06-02 0000063276-26-000013 EDGAR
2026-04-29 0001628280-26-028370 EDGAR
2026-04-07 0001193125-26-145663 EDGAR
2026-02-10 0001628280-26-006840 EDGAR
2025-11-17 0001193125-25-284624 EDGAR
2025-11-06 0001193125-25-269635 EDGAR
2025-10-21 0001628280-25-045690 EDGAR
2025-07-23 0001628280-25-035714 EDGAR
2025-05-30 0001193125-25-132211 EDGAR
2025-05-08 0001193125-25-115986 EDGAR
Annual report — audited financial statements, MD&A, risk factors. Filed 60–90 days after fiscal year-end.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-02-23 0001628280-26-010716 EDGAR
2025-02-26 0001628280-25-007887 EDGAR
2024-03-15 0001628280-24-011371 EDGAR
2023-02-22 0001628280-23-004416 EDGAR
2022-02-28 0001628280-22-004260 EDGAR
2021-02-25 0001628280-21-003197 EDGAR
2020-02-25 0001628280-20-002192 EDGAR
2019-02-22 0001628280-19-001744 EDGAR
2018-02-27 0001628280-18-002322 EDGAR
2017-02-23 0001628280-17-001638 EDGAR
Quarterly report — unaudited financials and MD&A. Filed 40–45 days after each of the first three fiscal quarters.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-05-01 0001628280-26-029316 EDGAR
2025-10-29 0001628280-25-047161 EDGAR
2025-07-29 0001628280-25-036429 EDGAR
2025-05-06 0001628280-25-022312 EDGAR
2024-10-30 0001628280-24-044151 EDGAR
2024-07-30 0001628280-24-033454 EDGAR
2024-04-30 0001628280-24-019341 EDGAR
2023-11-09 0001628280-23-038124 EDGAR
2023-08-01 0001628280-23-026456 EDGAR
2023-05-02 0001628280-23-014912 EDGAR
ETF Holders
124 ETFs hold MAT
25 shown · $792.05M total exposure · 0.06% AUM-weighted avg weight
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
1 IJH iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.13% $157.9M $125.4B 2026-11-03
2 VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF Vanguard 0.00% $112.9M — 2026-09-30
3 VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF Vanguard 0.05% $81.3M — 2026-09-30
4 DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF Dimensional 0.20% $61.7M — 2026-11-03
5 VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF Vanguard 0.08% $53.0M — 2026-09-30
6 DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF Dimensional 0.16% $43.5M — 2026-11-03
7 VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF Vanguard 0.04% $40.7M — 2026-09-30
8 DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF Dimensional 0.10% $34.4M — 2026-11-03
9 MDY State Street® SPDR® S&P MIDCAP 400® ETF Trust SPDR (State Street) 0.13% $32.8M $26.2B 2026-11-03
10 SPMD State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 400™ Mid Cap ETF SPDR (State Street) 0.13% $23.8M $18.9B 2026-11-03
11 SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF Nport 0.10% $22.3M — 2026-05-31
12 IWR iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.03% $18.8M $58.8B 2026-11-03
13 DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF Dimensional 0.02% $14.6M — 2026-11-03
14 IJJ iShares S&P Mid-Cap 400 Value ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.15% $13.3M $8.9B 2026-11-03
15 SCHM Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF Nport 0.09% $12.5M — 2026-05-31
16 IJK iShares S&P Mid-Cap 400 Growth ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.10% $10.7M $10.5B 2026-11-03
17 IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.01% $9.7M $85.3B 2026-11-03
18 VCR Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF Vanguard 0.12% $7.1M — 2026-09-30
19 DFMC Dimensional US Micro Cap ETF Dimensional 0.09% $6.8M — 2026-11-03
20 IWS iShares Russell Mid-Cap Value ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.04% $6.4M $14.9B 2026-11-03
21 ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.01% $6.2M $97.0B 2026-11-03
22 IVOO Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 ETF Vanguard 0.11% $6.1M — 2026-09-30
23 AVSC Avantis U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF Avantis 0.17% $5.6M $3.2B 2026-11-03
24 FYX First Trust Small Cap Core AlphaDEX® Fund First Trust 0.37% $5.1M $1.4B 2026-11-03
25 FNDX Schwab Fundamental U.S. Large Company ETF Nport 0.02% $4.9M — 2026-08-31
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

Trailing P/E
11.07
TTM Diluted EPS
$1.36
TTM Revenue
$5.49B
TTM Net Income
$427.37M
TTM Op. Cash Flow
$666.39M
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
QuarterPeriod EndRevenueNet IncomeDiluted EPSOp. Cash Flow
Q2 '262026-06-30$1.13B$-18.21M$-0.06$-179.19M
Q1 '262026-03-31$862.17M$61.03M$0.20$-22.94M
Q4 '252025-12-31$1.77B$106.19M$0.34$796.55M
Q3 '252025-09-30$1.74B$278.36M$0.88$71.97M
Q2 '252025-06-30$1.02B$53.35M$0.16$-300.08M
Q1 '252025-03-31$826.63M$-40.32M$-0.12$24.81M
Q4 '242024-12-31$1.65B$140.86M$0.42$862.15M
Q3 '242024-09-30$1.84B$372.38M$1.09$155.82M
Q2 '242024-06-30$1.08B$56.86M$0.17$-252.90M
Q1 '242024-03-31$809.51M$-28.28M$-0.08$35.49M
Q4 '232023-12-31$1.62B$147.32M$0.41$949.43M
Q3 '232023-09-30$1.92B$146.32M$0.41$245.94M
Q2 2026 • period ending 2026-06-30 • filed 2026-08-06
Valuation

Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.

Price Multiples
  • P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
  • P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
  • P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
  • EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
  • EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
Profitability & Yields
  • ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
  • ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
  • Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
  • FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
Balance Sheet
  • Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
  • Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
Reading the history chart
  • Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
  • Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
  • Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
P/E
11.07
P/B
2.32
P/S
0.84
EV/EBITDA
10.63
EV/Sales
1.17
ROE
21.4%
ROA
6.7%
Div Yield
0.00%
FCF Yield
14.40%
Debt/Equity
1.17
Current Ratio
—
Market Cap
$4.63B
as of 2026-11-05
Short Interest & Float

Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.

Metric definitions
  • Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
  • SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
  • Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
  • Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
  • Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
  • Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
  • SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
  • 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
  • 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
  • >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
  • Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
  • Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
  • A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.

Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.

Short Interest
28.02M
SI % of Float
10.00%
Days to Cover
2.34
Short Vol Ratio
39.0%
Free Float
280.16M
Float %
98.1%
Short interest 2026-10-15 • Short volume 2026-11-04 • Float 2026-08-14