BTC price on Oct 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
50/50 line50%$82,000 or above
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$1.2M
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/no$78,250 or above
100%
$78,000 or above
100%
$77,000 or above
99%
$77,750 or above
99%
$72,500 or above
99%
$71,500 or above
99%
$78,750 or above
98%
$79,500 or above
98%
$79,750 or above
98%
$79,000 or above
98%
$79,250 or above
98%
$78,500 or above
98%
$77,500 or above
98%
$77,250 or above
98%
+ 36 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- $81,750 or aboveYES $19K · NO $11K · 14 orders · biggest $5K
- $82,000 or aboveYES $23K · NO $5K · 14 orders · biggest $5K
- $82,250 or aboveYES $11K · NO $10K · 12 orders · biggest $3K
- $83,000 or aboveYES $3K · NO $16K · 8 orders · biggest $7K
- $80,000 or aboveYES $13K · NO $1K · 6 orders · biggest $6K
- $81,000 or aboveYES $10K · NO $3K · 8 orders · biggest $2K
- $82,500 or aboveYES $3K · NO $6K · 6 orders · biggest $2K
- $80,750 or aboveYES $7K · NO $0 · 5 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $82,250 or above | NO | 58¢ | $1K | |
| $82,250 or above | NO | 56¢ | $2K | |
| $82,000 or above | NO | 43¢ | $1K | |
| $82,000 or above | NO | 43¢ | $1K | |
| $81,500 or above | YES | 79¢ | $2K | |
| $82,000 or above | YES | 43¢ | $2K | |
| $83,000 or above | NO | 90¢ | $2K | |
| $82,000 or above | YES | 49¢ | $5K | |
| $83,500 or above | NO | 96¢ | $2K | |
| $81,750 or above | YES | 52¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
50| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $78,250 or above | 100% | — | $1K | $1K |
| $78,000 or above | 100% | — | $590 | $585 |
| $77,000 or above | 99% | — | $8K | $8K |
| $77,750 or above | 99% | — | $2K | $1K |
| $72,500 or above | 99% | — | $48 | $48 |
| $71,500 or above | 99% | — | $93 | $93 |
| $78,750 or above | 98% | — | $20K | $17K |
| $79,500 or above | 98% | — | $17K | $15K |
| $79,750 or above | 98% | — | $23K | $18K |
| $79,000 or above | 98% | — | $20K | $19K |
| $79,250 or above | 98% | — | $17K | $14K |
| $78,500 or above | 98% | — | $3K | $3K |
| $77,500 or above | 98% | — | $6K | $6K |
| $77,250 or above | 98% | — | $4K | $4K |
| $80,000 or above | 97% | — | $51K | $20K |
| $76,000 or above | 97% | — | $90 | $90 |
| $76,250 or above | 97% | — | $80 | $80 |
| $75,750 or above | 97% | — | $24 | $24 |
| $80,250 or above | 96% | — | $18K | $14K |
| $76,750 or above | 96% | — | $8K | $8K |
| $76,500 or above | 95% | — | $132 | $132 |
| $80,500 or above | 94% | — | $34K | $20K |
| $80,750 or above | 92% | — | $45K | $13K |
| $81,000 or above | 88% | — | $119K | $48K |
| $81,250 or above | 82% | — | $55K | $33K |
| $81,500 or above | 74% | — | $64K | $20K |
| $81,750 or above | 64% | — | $112K | $34K |
| $82,000 or above | 50% | — | $106K | $53K |
| $82,250 or above | 36% | — | $76K | $26K |
| $82,500 or above | 26% | — | $73K | $19K |
| $82,750 or above | 18% | — | $42K | $14K |
| $83,000 or above | 10% | — | $77K | $26K |
| $83,250 or above | 8% | — | $19K | $11K |
| $83,500 or above | 4% | — | $38K | $20K |
| $84,500 or above | 4% | — | $23K | $20K |
| $83,750 or above | 4% | — | $18K | $16K |
| $85,000 or above | 3% | — | $9K | $8K |
| $87,000 or above | 2% | — | $819 | $819 |
| $87,250 or above | 2% | — | $199 | $199 |
| $84,000 or above | 2% | — | $28K | $17K |
| $84,750 or above | 2% | — | $8K | $7K |
| $85,250 or above | 2% | — | $21K | $21K |
| $86,000 or above | 2% | — | $2K | $2K |
| $86,250 or above | 2% | — | $2K | $2K |
| $86,500 or above | 2% | — | $4K | $4K |
| $86,750 or above | 2% | — | $533 | $533 |
| $84,250 or above | 2% | — | $33K | $28K |
| $85,750 or above | 1% | — | $2K | $2K |
| $85,500 or above | 1% | — | $5K | $5K |
| $91,250 or above | 1% | — | $1 | $1 |
Same series
- BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?≈ $82,500 or above 46% · settles 2026-10-23
- BTC price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?≈ $82,100 or above 56% · settles 2026-10-19