BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
50/50 line48%$82,500 or above
Line nearest 50/50
48%
Runner-up
99%
Biggest 24h move+12 pts
68%
24h volume
$452K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/no$72,000 or above
99%
$71,500 or above
99%
$72,500 or above
98%
-1
$75,000 or above
98%
+2
$74,000 or above
98%
+2
$74,500 or above
98%
$73,000 or above
98%
+2
$75,500 or above
97%
+2
$76,000 or above
96%
+2
$73,500 or above
96%
$76,500 or above
96%
+2
$77,000 or above
94%
$77,500 or above
94%
$78,000 or above
92%
+4
+ 28 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- $81,000 or aboveYES $21K · NO $8K · 14 orders · biggest $7K
- $77,000 or aboveYES $20K · NO $0 · 14 orders · biggest $2K
- $83,000 or aboveYES $16K · NO $3K · 3 orders · biggest $14K
- $80,000 or aboveYES $8K · NO $3K · 5 orders · biggest $5K
- $80,500 or aboveYES $8K · NO $2K · 4 orders · biggest $5K
- $81,500 or aboveYES $4K · NO $3K · 5 orders · biggest $2K
- $82,000 or aboveYES $2K · NO $4K · 4 orders · biggest $2K
- $78,000 or aboveYES $6K · NO $0 · 3 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $83,500 or above | YES | 37¢ | $2K | |
| $81,000 or above | YES | 72¢ | $7K | |
| $81,000 or above | YES | 71¢ | $1K | |
| $81,000 or above | YES | 71¢ | $1K | |
| $81,000 or above | YES | 71¢ | $1K | |
| $81,000 or above | YES | 71¢ | $1K | |
| $81,000 or above | YES | 72¢ | $1K | |
| $81,000 or above | YES | 72¢ | $3K | |
| $82,000 or above | YES | 60¢ | $1K | |
| $81,000 or above | NO | 31¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
42| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $72,000 or above | 99% | — | $284 | $269 |
| $71,500 or above | 99% | — | $13 | $12 |
| $72,500 or above | 98% | -1.0 | $4 | $228 |
| $75,000 or above | 98% | +2.5 | $12 | $2K |
| $74,000 or above | 98% | +1.5 | $28 | $217 |
| $74,500 or above | 98% | +0.5 | $1K | $3K |
| $73,000 or above | 98% | +1.5 | $5 | $213 |
| $75,500 or above | 97% | +2.0 | $1K | $8K |
| $76,000 or above | 96% | +2.5 | $5K | $4K |
| $73,500 or above | 96% | — | $204 | $555 |
| $76,500 or above | 96% | +1.5 | $5K | $10K |
| $77,000 or above | 94% | +0.5 | $58K | $78K |
| $77,500 or above | 94% | +0.5 | $16K | $8K |
| $78,000 or above | 92% | +4.5 | $37K | $44K |
| $78,500 or above | 88% | +1.5 | $414 | $1K |
| $79,000 or above | 88% | +3.5 | $8K | $8K |
| $79,500 or above | 82% | +4.5 | $21K | $21K |
| $80,000 or above | 80% | +9.5 | $26K | $17K |
| $80,500 or above | 72% | +8.5 | $16K | $13K |
| $81,000 or above | 68% | +11.5 | $103K | $33K |
| $81,500 or above | 60% | +8.5 | $22K | $13K |
| $82,000 or above | 54% | +1.5 | $34K | $15K |
| $82,500 or above | 48% | +1.5 | $25K | $9K |
| $83,000 or above | 40% | +1.5 | $13K | $39K |
| $83,500 or above | 32% | +0.5 | $4K | $13K |
| $84,000 or above | 26% | +0.5 | $9K | $12K |
| $84,500 or above | 22% | -1.5 | $2K | $6K |
| $85,000 or above | 18% | +2.5 | $2K | $2K |
| $85,500 or above | 14% | +0.5 | $9K | $11K |
| $86,000 or above | 10% | -1.5 | $11K | $12K |
| $86,500 or above | 8% | -0.5 | $2K | $5K |
| $87,000 or above | 6% | -1.5 | $4K | $14K |
| $87,500 or above | 4% | -0.5 | $9K | $11K |
| $88,000 or above | 4% | -1.5 | $499 | $3K |
| $88,500 or above | 4% | -0.5 | $6K | $8K |
| $89,500 or above | 2% | +1.0 | $11 | $105 |
| $89,000 or above | 2% | — | $221 | $725 |
| $91,000 or above | 2% | — | $21 | $35 |
| $90,000 or above | 2% | -2.0 | $6 | $10K |
| $92,500 or above | 1% | — | $32 | $66 |
| $90,500 or above | 1% | — | $4 | $2 |
| $92,000 or above | 1% | — | $5 | $5 |
Same series
- BTC price on Oct 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT?≈ $82,250 or above 44% · settles 2026-10-19
- BTC price on Oct 19, 2026 at 10am EDT?≈ $82,100 or above 56% · settles 2026-10-19