How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
50/50 line12%Below $55,000.00
Line nearest 50/50
12%
Market median
55000
Biggest 24h move+2 pts
12%
24h volume
$32K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noWhat the market expects
median 55000Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Below $40,000.00YES $0 · NO $15K · 3 orders · biggest $5K
- Below $55,000.00YES $0 · NO $12K · 2 orders · biggest $9K
- Below $50,000.00YES $0 · NO $10K · 2 orders · biggest $9K
- Below $45,000.00YES $0 · NO $4K · 1 orders · biggest $4K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below $50,000.00 | NO | 92¢ | $9K | |
| Below $50,000.00 | NO | 91¢ | $1K | |
| Below $55,000.00 | NO | 91¢ | $9K | |
| Below $45,000.00 | NO | 95¢ | $4K | |
| Below $40,000.00 | NO | 95¢ | $5K | |
| Below $40,000.00 | NO | 96¢ | $5K | |
| Below $40,000.00 | NO | 95¢ | $5K | |
| Below $55,000.00 | NO | 90¢ | $3K |
All outcomes
4| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below $55,000.00 | 12% | +1.5 | $18K | $611K |
| Below $50,000.00 | 8% | -1.0 | $11K | $585K |
| Below $45,000.00 | 6% | — | $2K | $334K |
| Below $40,000.00 | 4% | +1.0 | $736 | $545K |