US refinery utilization in November

5 outcomesSettles Jan 29, 2027 (96d)

50/50 line52%Above 88%

Line nearest 50/50

52%

Above 88%

Market median

94.078%

even odds of landing above or below

Biggest 24h move+41 pts

92%

Above 92%

24h volume

$2K

$208 open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Above 92% 92% +41

Above 90% 92% +80

Above 94% 56% +30

Above 88% 52% -28

Above 96% 13% -13

median 94.078%

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
Above 92%	92%	+41.0	$638	$31
Above 90%	92%	+80.5	$486	$42
Above 94%	56%	+30.5	$792	$49
Above 88%	52%	-28.5	$8	$3
Above 96%	13%	-13.0	$89	$83