Consumer Electronics Ad Spend in October

4 outcomesSettles Nov 06, 2026 (5d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line94%Above 120
Line nearest 50/50
94%
Above 120
Market median
130
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+20 pts
94%
Above 120
24h volume
$9K
$12K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 120 94% +20
Above 140 6% -8
Above 150 2% -4

What the market expects

median 130

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 120
    YES $4K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $4K
  • October 2026
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
  • October 2026
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
  • Above 140
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 120YES 89¢$4K
Above 140NO 82¢$1K
October 2026NO 99¢$1K
October 2026YES 97¢$1K

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 110 98% +0.5 $648 $1K
Above 120 94% +19.5 $6K $6K
Above 140 6% -8.5 $851 $3K
Above 150 2% -4.5 $1K $2K