Gold price on Nov 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?
50/50 line52%Above $3884
Line nearest 50/50
52%
Market median
3886.35
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$9K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove $3814
84%
Above $3844
82%
Above $3854
69%
Above $3864
62%
Above $3874
57%
Above $3884
52%
Above $3894
44%
Above $3904
35%
Above $3924
34%
Above $3914
29%
Above $3934
26%
Above $3944
22%
Above $3954
20%
Above $3964
18%
-46
+ 4 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 3886.35Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyAll outcomes
18| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3814 | 84% | — | $237 | $227 |
| Above $3844 | 82% | — | $187 | $187 |
| Above $3854 | 69% | — | $235 | $236 |
| Above $3864 | 62% | — | $228 | $187 |
| Above $3874 | 57% | — | $2K | $534 |
| Above $3884 | 52% | — | $2K | $1K |
| Above $3894 | 44% | — | $809 | $432 |
| Above $3904 | 35% | — | $837 | $259 |
| Above $3924 | 34% | — | $323 | $225 |
| Above $3914 | 29% | — | $193 | $192 |
| Above $3934 | 26% | — | $202 | $163 |
| Above $3944 | 22% | — | $187 | $64 |
| Above $3954 | 20% | — | $609 | $450 |
| Above $3964 | 18% | -46.5 | $358 | $334 |
| Above $4004 | 14% | — | $420 | $420 |
| Above $4014 | 13% | — | $42 | $42 |
| Above $4034 | 12% | — | $67 | $67 |
| Above $4064 | 3% | — | $51 | $37 |