Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q3 2026
50/50 line55%Above -2.5%
Line nearest 50/50
55%
Market median
1.605%
Biggest 24h move-31 pts
55%
24h volume
$6K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 0.5%
96%
+1
Above 1.5%
55%
-31
Above -2.5%
55%
Above -2%
55%
Above -1.5%
55%
Above 2%
33%
-21
Above 2.5%
14%
Above 3.5%
4%
-4
What the market expects
median 1.605%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 3%YES $0 · NO $5K · 2 orders · biggest $3K
- Above 2.5%YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 3.5%YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.5% | NO | 93¢ | $1K | |
| Above 3% | NO | 94¢ | $1K | |
| food retail same-store sales growth in Q3 2026 | NO | 81¢ | $3K | |
| Above 2.5% | NO | 66¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
8| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.5% | 96% | +1.0 | $363 | $838 |
| Above 1.5% | 55% | -31.0 | $3K | $3K |
| Above -2.5% | 55% | — | $111 | $111 |
| Above -2% | 55% | — | $111 | $111 |
| Above -1.5% | 55% | — | $111 | $111 |
| Above 2% | 33% | -21.0 | $757 | $901 |
| Above 2.5% | 14% | — | $879 | $2K |
| Above 3.5% | 4% | -4.0 | $713 | $3K |