What will Trump say this week?
50/50 line50%Epstein
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move+85 pts
100%
24h volume
$42K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noCeasefire
100%
Mortgage
100%
+85
Ethanol
57%
+22
Epstein
50%
Refinery
38%
+6
Autopen / Auto Pen
18%
-2
Third Term
14%
-14
Zohran / Mamdani
14%
-1
Antifa
10%
-3
Crypto / Bitcoin
10%
-2
Houthi
8%
-17
Tomahawk
8%
-10
+ 7 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Cuba / CubanYES $5K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $5K
- Vivek / RamaswamyYES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- SoleimaniYES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- DieselYES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- CeasefireYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- MortgageYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mortgage | YES | 98¢ | $1K | |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy | YES | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Cuba / Cuban | YES | 99¢ | $5K | |
| Diesel | YES | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Ceasefire | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Soleimani | YES | 97¢ | $3K |
All outcomes
21| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceasefire | 100% | — | $24K | $29K |
| Mortgage | 100% | +85.0 | $4K | $4K |
| Ethanol | 57% | +22.0 | $2K | $1K |
| Epstein | 50% | — | $712 | $9K |
| Refinery | 38% | +6.5 | $825 | $1K |
| Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice | 32% | +3.0 | $290 | $768 |
| Cybersecurity / Cyber Security | 20% | +9.0 | $573 | $824 |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 18% | -1.5 | $313 | $656 |
| Third Term | 14% | -13.5 | $104 | $929 |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 14% | -1.0 | $538 | $1K |
| Antifa | 10% | -3.0 | $471 | $658 |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 10% | -2.0 | $977 | $2K |
| Houthi | 8% | -17.0 | $113 | $286 |
| Tomahawk | 8% | -10.0 | $134 | $489 |
| Uranium | 4% | -1.0 | $608 | $3K |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 4% | -4.0 | $286 | $1K |
| Golden Dome | 4% | -2.0 | $326 | $500 |
| UFO / UAP | 4% | +1.0 | $418 | $751 |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | 2% | -2.5 | $813 | $2K |
| Peace in the Middle East | 2% | -0.5 | $1K | $6K |
| Make Iran Great Again | 2% | -1.5 | $5K | $5K |