P PolymarketCrypto

Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?

8 outcomesSettles Nov 04, 2026 (4d) Live crypto prices

50/50 line44%78,000

Line nearest 50/50

44%

78,000

Runner-up

94%

72,000

Biggest 24h move-2 pts

68%

76,000

24h volume

$14K

$247K open interest

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

70,000 97%

72,000 94% +1

74,000 85% +1

76,000 68% -2

78,000 44% -3

80,000 22% -6

82,000 10% -4

90,000 2%

Odds over time

hourly

Hourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
70,000	97%	+0.6	$7K	$31K
72,000	94%	+1.4	$195	$31K
74,000	85%	+1.1	$3K	$31K
76,000	68%	-1.5	$3K	$31K
78,000	44%	-3.0	$128	$31K
80,000	22%	-6.0	$402	$31K
82,000	10%	-4.0	$36	$31K
90,000	2%	+0.9	$164	$31K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.