Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
Current odds
one winnerOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
30| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360-379 | 18% | +1.5 | $28K | $116K |
| 380-399 | 18% | +8.5 | $29K | $116K |
| 400-419 | 15% | +10.2 | $19K | $116K |
| 420-439 | 11% | +8.5 | $15K | $116K |
| 340-359 | 10% | -15.5 | $32K | $116K |
| 440-459 | 7% | +5.8 | $17K | $116K |
| 460-479 | 6% | +5.2 | $17K | $116K |
| 320-339 | 6% | -12.0 | $29K | $116K |
| 480-499 | 4% | +2.8 | $22K | $116K |
| 500-519 | 2% | +1.4 | $23K | $116K |
| 520-539 | 2% | +1.5 | $15K | $116K |
| 300-319 | 1% | -12.2 | $36K | $116K |
| 540-559 | 1% | +0.9 | $15K | $116K |
| 560-579 | 1% | +0.7 | $11K | $116K |
| 580+ | 1% | +0.6 | $20K | $116K |
| 280-299 | 0% | -6.1 | $38K | $116K |
| 260-279 | 0% | -1.8 | $36K | $116K |
| 240-259 | 0% | — | $26K | $116K |
| 200-219 | 0% | -0.5 | $8K | $116K |
| 220-239 | 0% | — | $20K | $116K |
| 180-199 | 0% | — | $8K | $116K |
| 140-159 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
| 160-179 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
| <20 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
| 20-39 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
| 40-59 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
| 60-79 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
| 80-99 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
| 100-119 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
| 120-139 | 0% | — | $0 | $116K |
How it settles
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.