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How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

7 outcomesSettles Dec 31, 2026 (67d)

50/50 line49%5.60%

Line nearest 50/50

49%

5.60%

Runner-up

66%

5.50%

Biggest 24h move-8 pts

17%

5.80%

24h volume

$3K

$183K open interest

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

5.40% 74% -3

5.50% 66% +10

5.60% 49% -8

5.70% 40% +1

5.80% 17% -8

5.90% 11%

6.00% 4% -2

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
5.40%	74%	-3.0	$128	$26K
5.50%	66%	+9.5	$147	$26K
5.60%	49%	-7.5	$170	$26K
5.70%	40%	+1.0	$1K	$26K
5.80%	17%	-8.2	$669	$26K
5.90%	11%	+0.5	$650	$26K
6.00%	4%	-1.8	$257	$26K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.