Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 outcomesSettles Oct 28, 2026 (8d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite40%20-24
Favorite
40%
20-24
Runner-up
32%
<20
Biggest 24h move+6 pts
32%
<20
24h volume
$88K
$1.9M open interest

Current odds

one winner
20-24 40% -2
<20 32% +6
25-29 22%
30-34 8% +1
35+ 1%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

5
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
20-24 40% -2.0 $5K $373K
<20 32% +6.5 $7K $373K
25-29 22% — $34K $373K
30-34 8% +1.0 $24K $373K
35+ 1% — $18K $373K

How it settles

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.