P PolymarketCrypto

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

9 outcomesSettles Jan 02, 2027 (62d)

Embed these odds

Paste this into any web page or blog post. The odds refresh every minute.

Theme
Preview
50/50 line8%Kirsten Gillibrand
Line nearest 50/50
8%
Kirsten Gillibrand
Runner-up
7%
Jacky Rosen
Biggest 24h move-5 pts
2%
Rand Paul
24h volume
$5K
$198K open interest

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

9
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Kirsten Gillibrand 8% -1.0 $45 $22K
Jacky Rosen 7% — $6 $22K
Raphael Warnock 7% — $39 $22K
Mark Warner 6% — $20 $22K
Mike Lee 6% — $47 $22K
Lisa Blunt Rochester 6% — $25 $22K
Josh Hawley 5% — $155 $22K
Catherine Cortez Masto 3% -4.3 $3K $22K
Rand Paul 2% -4.5 $2K $22K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.