Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
9| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 8% | -1.0 | $45 | $22K |
| Jacky Rosen | 7% | — | $6 | $22K |
| Raphael Warnock | 7% | — | $39 | $22K |
| Mark Warner | 6% | — | $20 | $22K |
| Mike Lee | 6% | — | $47 | $22K |
| Lisa Blunt Rochester | 6% | — | $25 | $22K |
| Josh Hawley | 5% | — | $155 | $22K |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | 3% | -4.3 | $3K | $22K |
| Rand Paul | 2% | -4.5 | $2K | $22K |
How it settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.