What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 4.9000

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (72d) All outcomes: New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026 Gas prices

chance of YES34% +11.0pp in 24h

Price range (6d)

1–90%

24h volume

561

$1 contracts

Open interest

141

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 6d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.