Gonzalo Bueno wins
chance of YES44%
-21.5pp in 24h
Price range (33h)
43–69%
24h volume
2.0M
Open interest
599.4K
Bid / ask
44¢ / 45¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 33hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44.0¢ | 64 | 45.0¢ | 224 |
| 43.0¢ | 303 | 46.0¢ | 2,848 |
| 42.0¢ | 463 | 47.0¢ | 421 |
| 41.0¢ | 25 | 48.0¢ | 1,315 |
| 40.0¢ | 50 | 49.0¢ | 1,883 |
Mid 44.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna56%2.1M
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 56¢ | 1,834 | $1K | |
| NO | 56¢ | 2,577 | $1K | |
| NO | 55¢ | 2,104 | $1K | |
| YES | 47¢ | 3,877 | $2K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 4,084 | $2K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 2,586 | $1K | |
| NO | 57¢ | 2,439 | $1K | |
| NO | 58¢ | 2,220 | $1K | |
| NO | 58¢ | 7,363 | $4K | |
| NO | 58¢ | 1,803 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.