What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Settles Nov 04, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Rodriguez Taverna vs Bueno

chance of YES56% +21.5pp in 24h

Price range (34h)

32–58%

24h volume

2.1M

$1 contracts

Open interest

500.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

56¢ / 57¢

spread 1.0¢

hourly, 34h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 56.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 6:34 AM ET	YES	59¢	2,455	$1K
Oct 22, 6:23 AM ET	YES	58¢	2,866	$2K
Oct 21, 9:34 PM ET	NO	47¢	12,581	$6K
Oct 21, 9:17 PM ET	YES	56¢	5,210	$3K
Oct 21, 9:13 PM ET	NO	47¢	6,878	$3K
Oct 21, 9:12 PM ET	YES	55¢	6,878	$4K
Oct 21, 9:03 PM ET	NO	47¢	4,358	$2K
Oct 21, 8:59 PM ET	NO	47¢	10,269	$5K
Oct 21, 8:59 PM ET	NO	46¢	4,330	$2K
Oct 21, 8:58 PM ET	NO	46¢	5,241	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.