Erik Arutiunian wins
chance of YES0%
Price range (8h)
1–39%
24h volume
345.6K
Open interest
307.5K
Bid / ask
$70K
Odds and volume
hourly, 8hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Gabriel Debru100%236.4K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 99¢ | 1,123 | $1K | |
| NO | 99¢ | 3,603 | $4K | |
| NO | 99¢ | 2,184 | $2K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 1,061 | $1K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 6,010 | $6K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 1,423 | $1K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 1,147 | $1K | |
| YES | 14¢ | 12,134 | $2K | |
| YES | 17¢ | 11,178 | $2K | |
| YES | 26¢ | 9,434 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.