What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Gabriel Debru

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Debru vs Arutiunian

chance of YES100%

Price range (14h)

62–99%

24h volume

236.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

223.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$145K

100% on YES

hourly, 14h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 2:53 PM ET	YES	99¢	6,687	$7K
Oct 23, 2:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,888	$4K
Oct 23, 2:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,018	$2K
Oct 23, 2:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,110	$1K
Oct 23, 2:48 PM ET	YES	97¢	3,494	$3K
Oct 23, 2:45 PM ET	YES	94¢	7,041	$7K
Oct 23, 2:43 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,423	$1K
Oct 23, 2:41 PM ET	YES	87¢	9,112	$8K
Oct 23, 2:36 PM ET	YES	83¢	2,361	$2K
Oct 23, 2:26 PM ET	YES	94¢	1,420	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.