What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Juan Manuel La Serna

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: La Serna vs Pucinelli de Almeida

chance of YES0%

Price range (15h)

1–39%

24h volume

783.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

572.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$198K

61% on YES

hourly, 15h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 3:28 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,073	$2K
Oct 23, 3:26 PM ET	YES	16¢	59,029	$9K
Oct 23, 3:25 PM ET	YES	25¢	38,004	$10K
Oct 23, 3:24 PM ET	YES	37¢	25,933	$10K
Oct 23, 3:23 PM ET	NO	69¢	15,814	$11K
Oct 23, 3:23 PM ET	YES	32¢	8,823	$3K
Oct 23, 3:22 PM ET	NO	69¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 23, 3:21 PM ET	NO	65¢	1,807	$1K
Oct 23, 3:20 PM ET	NO	56¢	3,395	$2K
Oct 23, 3:20 PM ET	NO	56¢	8,823	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.