What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: La Serna vs Pucinelli de Almeida

chance of YES100%

Price range (10h)

64–99%

24h volume

639.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

556.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$234K

98% on YES

hourly, 10h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 3:28 PM ET	YES	99¢	8,020	$8K
Oct 23, 3:27 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,466	$1K
Oct 23, 3:27 PM ET	YES	90¢	1,145	$1K
Oct 23, 3:27 PM ET	YES	90¢	2,336	$2K
Oct 23, 3:27 PM ET	YES	90¢	8,366	$8K
Oct 23, 3:27 PM ET	YES	90¢	1,820	$2K
Oct 23, 3:27 PM ET	YES	90¢	5,516	$5K
Oct 23, 3:27 PM ET	YES	90¢	2,206	$2K
Oct 23, 3:27 PM ET	YES	90¢	1,895	$2K
Oct 23, 3:26 PM ET	YES	78¢	25,000	$20K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.