What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (12d) All outcomes: Hardt vs La Serna

chance of YES100% +60.0pp in 24h

Price range (26h)

36–99%

24h volume

1.1M

$1 contracts

Open interest

505.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$288K

80% on YES

hourly, 26h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 7:53 PM ET	YES	99¢	13,122	$13K
Oct 27, 7:53 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,182	$1K
Oct 27, 7:53 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,816	$2K
Oct 27, 7:52 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,300	$2K
Oct 27, 7:52 PM ET	YES	97¢	6,656	$6K
Oct 27, 7:52 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,103	$1K
Oct 27, 7:51 PM ET	YES	89¢	1,835	$2K
Oct 27, 7:51 PM ET	YES	89¢	3,220	$3K
Oct 27, 7:50 PM ET	NO	15¢	22,014	$3K
Oct 27, 7:49 PM ET	YES	86¢	4,606	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.