What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (12d) All outcomes: Hardt vs La Serna

chance of YES0% -61.0pp in 24h

Price range (26h)

1–64%

24h volume

938.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

373.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$259K

59% on YES

hourly, 26h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 7:53 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,065	$1K
Oct 27, 7:52 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,344	$2K
Oct 27, 7:52 PM ET	NO	98¢	3,676	$4K
Oct 27, 7:52 PM ET	NO	97¢	4,122	$4K
Oct 27, 7:49 PM ET	NO	86¢	1,436	$1K
Oct 27, 7:48 PM ET	YES	12¢	8,634	$1K
Oct 27, 7:44 PM ET	NO	86¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 27, 7:44 PM ET	NO	86¢	2,162	$2K
Oct 27, 7:43 PM ET	NO	86¢	1,232	$1K
Oct 27, 7:42 PM ET	NO	86¢	3,254	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.