What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 12, 2026 (12d) All outcomes: Aguilar Cardozo vs Midon

chance of YES100% +54.0pp in 24h

Price range (25h)

31–99%

24h volume

899.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

464.4K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$250K

79% on YES

hourly, 25h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 7:51 PM ET	YES	98¢	8,637	$9K
Oct 30, 7:50 PM ET	YES	94¢	4,545	$4K
Oct 30, 7:50 PM ET	YES	89¢	1,881	$2K
Oct 30, 7:50 PM ET	YES	89¢	2,230	$2K
Oct 30, 7:50 PM ET	YES	89¢	3,278	$3K
Oct 30, 7:49 PM ET	YES	87¢	22,582	$20K
Oct 30, 7:49 PM ET	YES	82¢	3,000	$2K
Oct 30, 7:48 PM ET	YES	83¢	1,428	$1K
Oct 30, 7:48 PM ET	YES	94¢	2,807	$3K
Oct 30, 7:48 PM ET	YES	89¢	2,538	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.