What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 13, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Aboian vs Hardt

chance of YES100%

Price range (16h)

39–99%

24h volume

1.9M

$1 contracts

Open interest

926.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$614K

66% on YES

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 7:38 PM ET	YES	96¢	10,234	$10K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	87¢	2,240	$2K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	77¢	3,067	$2K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	79¢	3,487	$3K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	78¢	3,356	$3K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	77¢	101,680	$78K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	76¢	1,510	$1K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	76¢	2,867	$2K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	76¢	2,588	$2K
Oct 30, 7:37 PM ET	YES	76¢	1,328	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.