What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Theo Arribage / Albano Olivetti

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Gonzalez / Jebens vs Arribage / Olivetti

chance of YES98%

Price range (16h)

68–99%

24h volume

1.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.